Covid 19 -

[russellw]

Originally Posted by T3rminator

Benjamin Netanyahu's interview on how he allowed Pfizer to use his people for "testing" is interesting. The deal was that they got first access in return. Israel's citizens have all their health records digitised on a central database. It allowed authoritise to quickly identify and group people who had reactions. That is why we kept hearing of "studies out of Israel showed xyz" during the vaccine roll out. Having heard that, its apparent it was still being tested during the initial roll outs.

I've no doubt that is correct. The reality is that the vaccines were fast tracked by at least a couple of years compared to normal processes and that to some extent all the early uptake was experimental.

Is this ideal? Absolutely not and while I doubt that the side effects (including the fatal ones) were ever going to be completely avoidable it has set a potentially dangerous precedent for the next pandemic that comes along where we may not be so lucky in how safe these vaccines have proven to be.

What is certainly beyond any reasonable doubt is that the vaccines saved lives. It would have been devastating globally if the case mortality rates had stayed where they were in 2020 but even if we look at our own country it's startling:

If the 2020 pre-vaccination CMR of 3.049% had continued unchecked then Australia would have recorded 347,633 deaths to date and not the 19,373 we've had.

Globally the vaccines are claimed to have saved circa 20M lives although my data is a bit more conservative and says that if the global 2.315% CMR of 2020 had continued then 15.37M people would have died instead of the 6.7M to date. Either way, it's a lot.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
Please note that as of the 16th September the numbers are now reported weekly and all the charts have been changed to that period of time.

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 3,493 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 36 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 618 more;
Queensland had 78 more;WA recorded 112 more;
SA recorded 77 less; and
New Zealand recorded 881 more.

The week totalled 19,500 cases, a 4.2% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending March 3rd 2023.


19,500 new cases for Australia and 86 deaths so the CMR is 0.171% (é).
NZ reported 9,077 cases and 43 deaths for a CMR of 0.176% (é).
The UK reported 28,539 cases and 706 deaths last week for a CMR of 0.849 (é).
A higher 222,553 new cases in the USA this week and higher 2,282 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:Global cases pass 680M;
Global deaths pass 6.8M, the last 50k in 33 days;
South America passes 86M cases;
Oceania passes 14M cases;
Taiwan passes 10M cases;

Global case numbers are down again to 983,482this week compared to the 1,018,724 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 6,961 last week to 6,574this week although the amended deaths for last week are up to 7,736 and the amended case numbers to 1,079,879.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
Please note that as of the 16th September the numbers are now reported weekly and all the charts have been changed to that period of time.

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,147 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 303 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 708 more;
Queensland had 693 less;WA recorded 156 more;
SA recorded 12 more; and
New Zealand recorded 2,362 more.

The week totalled 19,874 cases, a 1.9% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending March 10th 2023.


19,874 new cases for Australia and 132 deaths so the CMR is 0.171% (-).
NZ reported 11,439 cases and 15 deaths for a CMR of 0.176% (-).
The UK reported 26,380 cases and 743 deaths last week for a CMR of 0.851 (é).
A lower 206,567 new cases in the USA this week and lower 2,042 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 681M;

Global case numbers are down again to 876,774this week compared to the 983,482 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 7,533 last week to 6,961this week although the amended deaths for last week are up to 7,652 and the amended case numbers to 1,049,889.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,552 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 641 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,034 more;
Queensland had 286 less;
WA recorded 79 more;
SA recorded 635 more; and
New Zealand recorded 70 more.

The week totalled 22,288 cases, a 12.1% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending March 17th 2023.

22,288 new cases for Australia and 99 deaths so the CMR is 0.171% (-).
NZ reported 11,509 cases and 22 deaths for a CMR of 0.176% (-).
The UK reported 26,862 cases and 763 deaths last week for a CMR of 0.854 ().
A higher 221,325 new cases in the USA this week and higher 2,488 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 682M;
Europe passes 247M cases;
North America passes 125M cases;

Global case numbers are down again to 805,023 this week compared to the 876,774 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 6,961 last week to 7,310 this week although the amended deaths for last week are up to 7,676 and the amended case numbers to 924,062.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
Please note that as of the 16th September the numbers are now reported weekly and all the charts have been changed to that period of time. From this week, the predictive trend is for 2023 only.

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,945 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 507 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 342 less;
Queensland had 158 more;WA recorded 543 more;
SA recorded 541 more; and
New Zealand recorded 347 less.

The week totalled 23,661 cases, a 6.2% increase on last week.


.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending March 24th 2023.


23,661 new cases for Australia and 70 deaths so the CMR is 0.175% (é).
NZ reported 11,152 cases and 22 deaths for a CMR of 0.176% (-).
The UK reported 25,333 cases and 938 deaths last week for a CMR of 0.856 (é).
A higher 267,445 new cases in the USA this week and lower 2,327 deaths sees CMR at 1.087 (ê).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 683M;
After adjustments to Australian case numbers, Oceania drops below 14M cases;
USA passes 106M cases;

Global case numbers are up to 816,891 this week compared to the 805,023 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an amended 6,602 last week to 5,589 this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 899,257.

[russellw]

Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,096 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 78 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,121 more;
Queensland had 443 more;WA recorded 78 more;
SA recorded 291 more; and
New Zealand recorded 1,523 less.

The week totalled 26,531 cases, a 12.1% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending March 31st 2023.


26,531 new cases for Australia and 96 deaths so the CMR is 0.175% (-).
NZ reported 9,229 cases and 31 deaths for a CMR of 0.177% (é).
A much lower 131,881 new cases in the USA this week and lower 1,489 deaths sees CMR at 1.087 (-).

Other notable points:
Austria passes 6M cases;
Global case numbers are down to 728,654this week compared to the 816,891 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an amended 5,589 last week to 5,142this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 842,465.

[russellw]

Easter stopped a couple of States reporting on Friday so here are the delayed stats for this week.

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending April 7th 2023.

25,157 new cases for Australia and 77 deaths so the CMR is 0.176% (é).
NZ reported 13,789 cases and 18 deaths for a CMR of 0.177% (-).
A higher 143,710 new cases in the USA this week and higher 1,827 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (é).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 684M;
Europe passes 248M cases;

Global case numbers are down to 656,350this week compared to the 728,564 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 5,142 last week to 5,402this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 795,941 and deaths to 5,676.






Australia / New Zealand

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,459 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 547 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 192 more;
Queensland had 303 more;WA recorded 200 more;
SA recorded 460 less; and
New Zealand recorded 4,160 more.

The week totalled 27,469 cases, a 3.5% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending April 14th 2023.


27,043 new cases for Australia and 116 deaths so the CMR is 0.176% (-).
NZ reported 12,11 cases and 30 deaths for a CMR of 0.177% (-).
A lower 100,155 new cases in the USA this week and lower 1,254 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 685M;
Global deaths pass 6.85M, the last 50k in 48 days;
Europe passes 248M cases;
Australia passes 20,000 deaths;

Global case numbers are down to567,910 this week compared to the 656,350 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 5,402 last week to5,536this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 695,944 and deaths to 5,487.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend


VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,104 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 39 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 230 less;
Queensland had 481 less;WA recorded 250 less;
SA recorded 454 more; and
New Zealand recorded 1,678 less.

The week totalled 27,043 cases, a 1.6% decrease on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending April 21st 2023.


29,474 new cases for Australia and 105 deaths so the CMR is 0.177% (é).
NZ reported 14,215 cases and 31 deaths for a CMR of 0.177% (-).
A lower 77,259 new cases in the USA this week and lower 853 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 686M;
North America passes 126M cases;

Global case numbers are up to652,995 this week compared to the 567,910 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 5,536 last week to5,444this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 634,051.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 3,838 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 241 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 2,747 more;
Queensland had 588 more;WA recorded 63 less;
SA recorded 664 less; and
New Zealand recorded 2,104 more.

The week totalled 29,852 cases, a 10.4% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending April 8th 2023.


29,373 new cases for Australia and 118 deaths so the CMR is 0.177% (-).
NZ reported 12,368 cases and 43 deaths for a CMR of 0.178% (é).
A higher 86,587 new cases in the USA this week and lower 821 deaths sees CMR at 1.088 (-).

Other notable points:
Asia passes 216M cases;

Global case numbers are down to574,819 this week compared to the 652,995 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 5,444 last week to3,552this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 726,365.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



NSW had 6,341 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 203 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 548 less;
Queensland had 499 less;WA recorded 440 more;
SA recorded 165 more; and
New Zealand recorded 1,847 less.

The week totalled 29,373 cases, a 1.7% decrease on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending May 5th 2023.


30,165 new cases for Australia and 138 deaths so the CMR is 0.178% (é).
NZ reported 11,030 cases and 35 deaths for a CMR of 0.179% (é).
A higher 138,443 new cases in the USA this week and higher 2,596 deaths leaves CMR at 1.089 (é).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 687M;
France passes 40M cases;

Global case numbers are down slightly to571,836 this week compared to the 574,819 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 3,552 last week to4,518this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 665,541 thanks largely to some countries moving to weekly or fortnightly reporting.






Australia / New Zealand

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other States Predictive Trend



NSW had 5,490 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 197 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 578 more;
Queensland had 126 less;WA recorded 231 more;
SA recorded 311 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,338 less.

The week totalled 30,165 cases, a 2.7% increase on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Anecdotally, it appears that we've largely come to believe that the pandemic is 'over' or at least controlled as witnessed by the poor take-up of the current vaccine offer, the removal of shields in a lot of retail environments and the fact that you hardly see anyone wearing a mask now in public.

I'm not quite sure that's right. All of the AU state trend lines are heading back upward as we head into the winter months and the last 4 weeks have averaged 120 deaths per week after being below 100 for several weeks and while that's still well below the 270/week of a year ago, it is still trending the wrong way.

India has gone from averaging ~100 cases a day back in Jan-Feb to averaging 8,000 cases a day over the last 4 weeks and other countries coming into winter months are showing similar trends.

Might be too early to call how this winter season will be here but we're having another jab anyway.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending May 12th 2023.


33,080 new cases for Australia and 147 deaths so the CMR is 0.179% (é).
NZ reported 12,258 cases and 48 deaths for a CMR of 0.180% (é).
A much lower 25,450 new cases in the USA this week and much lower 278 deaths so the CMR at 1.089 (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 688M;
Europe passes 249M cases;
Asia passes 217M cases;

Global case numbers are down to494,476 this week compared to the 571,836 last week although the USA is odd in reporting about 100k less cases and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 4,518 last week to4,483this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 625,125 thanks largely to some countries moving to weekly or fortnightly reporting.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 5,871 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 1,142 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 657 more;
Queensland had 695 more;WA recorded 159 more;
SA recorded 108 more; and
New Zealand recorded 1,228 more.

The week totalled 33,080 cases, a 9.7% increase on last week to go with a 6.7% increase in deaths.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending May 19th 2023.


38,714 new cases for Australia and 103 deaths so the CMR is 0.179% (-).
NZ reported 11,722 cases and 65 deaths for a CMR of 0.182% (é).
A more normal 98,755 new cases in the USA this week and 1,321 deaths for a CMR of 1.089% (-).

Other notable points:
None.

Global case numbers are down to 450,713 this week compared to the 494,476 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 4,483 last week to 2,484 this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 540,907 thanks largely to some countries moving to weekly or fortnightly reporting.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 5,386 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 1,722 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,719 more;
Queensland had 784 more;
WA recorded 89 more;
SA recorded 785 more; and
New Zealand recorded 536 less.

The week totalled 38,714 cases, a 17% increase on last week.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending May 26th 2023.

50,401 new cases for Australia and 219 deaths so the CMR is 0.180% (é).
NZ reported 14,151 cases and 79 deaths for a CMR of 0.184% (é).
194,330 new cases in the USA this week and 947 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (ê).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 689M;
The USA passes 107M cases;

Global case numbers are down to394,097 this week compared to the 450,713 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 2,484 last week to2,887this week although the amended case numbers for last week are up to 501,153 thanks largely to some countries moving to weekly or fortnightly reporting.





Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 5,383 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 1,326 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 290 less;
Queensland had 385 more;WA recorded 434 more;
SA recorded 756 more; and
New Zealand recorded 2,429 more.

The week totalled 50,401 cases, a 30.2% increase on last week. That’s the first week over 50k cases since January 6th.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending June 2nd 2023.

37,448 new cases for Australia and 183 deaths so the CMR is 0.181% (UP).
NZ reported 14,151 cases and 79 deaths for a CMR of 0.184% (UP).
42,735 new cases in the USA this week and 572 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (-).

Other notable points:
None

Global case numbers are down to 338,425 this week compared to the 394,097 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 2,887 last week to 1,937this week.





Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 3,767 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 1,973 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 929 less;
Queensland had 140 more;
WA recorded 719 less;
SA recorded 284 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,185 less.

The week totalled 37,448 cases, a 9.6% increase on last week. Please note that the reported total for last week of more than 50k has now been adjusted down to 41,428.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending June 9th 2023.

30,846 new cases for Australia and 196 deaths so the CMR is 0.182% (UP).
NZ reported 12,010 cases and 38 deaths for a CMR of 0.184% (-).
57,397 new cases in the USA this week and 1,124 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (-).

Other notable points:
Global cases pass 690M

Global case numbers are up to 346,343 this week compared to the 338,425 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 1,937 last week to 2,197this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 416,933.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 4,811 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 2,534 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,761 less;
Queensland had 35 more;
WA recorded 753 less;
SA recorded 1,135 less; and
New Zealand recorded 956 less.

The week totalled 30,846 cases, a 17.6% decrease on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

While it looks like global case numbers are declining, part of the reason is that a number of countries have stopped reporting or have extended reporting periods out to fortnightly or even monthly - it's why there is such a big gap between the case numbers reported last week (338k) and the amended total for that week now (417k) which is quite a big disparity.
If we add back in the ones that seem to have stopped reporting altogether at their weekly average prior to when they stopped, there are at least another 60k cases per week not being reported at all and that's probably conservative.

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending June 16th 2023.

19,767 new cases for Australia and 205 deaths so the CMR is 0.184% (UP).
NZ reported 9,864 cases and 48 deaths for a CMR of 0.186% (UP).
23,124 new cases in the USA this week and 355 deaths for a CMR of 1.089% (UP).

Other notable points: None

Global case numbers are down to 204,956 this week compared to the 346,343 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 2,197 last week to 2,351 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 380,607.






Australia / New Zealand

NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 5,584 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 2,179 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 4,813 less;
Queensland had 1,687 less;
WA recorded 670 less;
SA recorded 1,001 less; and
New Zealand recorded 2,146 less.

The week totalled 19,767 cases, a 35.9% decrease on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending June 23rd 2023.

16,076 new cases for Australia and 149 deaths so the CMR is 0.185% (é).
NZ reported 8,530 cases and 29 deaths for a CMR of 0.186% (-).
65,818 new cases in the USA this week and 600 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (ê).

Other notable points:
Asia passes 218M cases

Global case numbers are down to 173,762 this week compared to the 204,956 last week and the number of deaths increased from an unamended 2,351 last week to 2,367 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 292,848.





Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 2,950 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 531 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,336 less;
Queensland had 616 less;
WA recorded 700 less;
SA recorded 241 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,334 less.

The week totalled 16,076 cases, an 18.7% decrease on last week.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending June 30th 2023.


12,086 new cases for Australia and 205 deaths so the CMR is 0.186% (UP).
NZ reported 7,684 cases and 33 deaths for a CMR of 0.187% (UP).
37,307 new cases in the USA this week and 531 deaths for a CMR of 1.089% (UP).

Global case numbers are down to 132,445 this week compared to the 173,762 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 2,367 last week to 2,330 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 262,944.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 2,145 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 865 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 2,214 less;
Queensland had 288 less;
WA recorded 300 less;
SA recorded 168 less; and
New Zealand recorded 846 less.

The week totalled 12,086 cases, a 24.8% decrease on last week.




.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending July 7th 2023.

10,067 new cases for Australia and 130 deaths so the CMR is 0.187% (é).
NZ reported 6,580 cases and 23 deaths for a CMR of 0.187% (-).
43,276 new cases in the USA this week and 344 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (ê).
Global cases pass 691M;
North America passes 127M cases

Global case numbers are up to 190,250 this week compared to the 132,445 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 2,330 last week to 2,268 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 251,836 due to the extended reporting periods.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 796 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 1,737 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 878 more;
Queensland had 748 less;
WA recorded 179 less;
SA recorded 190 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,104 less.

The week totalled 10,067 cases, a 16.7% decrease on last week but we are clearly under-reporting cases because the CMR the last few weeks has been well above the long-term and above 1%.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending July 14th 2023.

7,456 new cases for Australia and 119 deaths so the CMR is 0.188% (é).
NZ reported 5,398 cases and 34 deaths for a CMR of 0.188% (é).
21,548 new cases in the USA this week and 129 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (-).

Global case numbers are up to 200,237 this week compared to the 190,250 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 2,268 last week to 780 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 251,836 due to the extended reporting periods.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 3,411 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 280 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 1,380 less;
Queensland had 378 less;
WA recorded 231 less;
SA recorded 191 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,182 less.

The week totalled 7,456 cases, a 25.9% decrease on last week but we are clearly under-reporting cases because the CMR the last few weeks has been well above the long-term and above 1%.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending July 21st 2023.

6,251 new cases for Australia and 91 deaths so the CMR is 0.188%
NZ reported 4,307 cases and 19 deaths for a CMR of 0.189% (UP)
59,838 new cases in the USA this week and 523 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (-)
Global deaths pass 6.9M, the last 50k in 97 days.

Global case numbers are up to 244,037 this week compared to the 200,237 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 780 last week to 736 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 253,652 and the amended deaths up to 1,039 due to the extended reporting periods.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 2,311 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 74 less cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 592 less;
Queensland had 126 less;
WA recorded 183 less;
SA recorded 168 less; and
New Zealand recorded 1,089 less.

The week totalled 6,251 cases, a 16.2% decrease on last week but we are clearly under-reporting cases because the CMR the last few weeks has been well above the long-term and above 1%.



.. trends over the last 3 months:

[russellw]

Data valid as at 00:00 GMT week ending July 28th 2023.

6,116 new cases for Australia and 168 deaths so the CMR is 0.190% (UP)
NZ reported 3,749 cases and 23 deaths for a CMR of 0.189% (-)
72,874 new cases in the USA this week and 641 deaths for a CMR of 1.088% (-)
Global cases pass 692M.

Global case numbers are up to 315,745 this week compared to the 244,037 last week and the number of deaths decreased from an unamended 736 last week to 623 this week. It should be noted that the amended case numbers for last week are up to 312,041 and the amended deaths up to 957 due to the extended reporting periods.






Australia / New Zealand
NSW Predictive Trend



VIC Predictive Trend



Other Predictive Trend



NSW had 1,793 more cases than Victoria last week;
Victoria recorded 633 more cases than the previous week;
NSW recorded 313 less;
Queensland had 168 less;
WA recorded 54 less;
SA recorded 153 less; and
New Zealand recorded 560 less.

The week totalled 6,116 cases, a 2.2% decrease on last week but we are clearly under-reporting cases because the CMR the last few weeks has been well above the long-term and above 1%.



.. trends over the last 3 months: